Athletic Carpivs
Cittadella
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00