Athletic Carpivs
Arzignano Valchiampo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/27/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Athletic Carpi 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Carpi 0-3 Arzignano Valchiampo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.6% | 34.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.8% | 32.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.6% | 33.5% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Athletic Carpi 0–0 Arzignano Valchiampo
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80