Atert Bissenvs
Wiltz
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atert Bissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atert Bissen 4-2 Wiltz
Original prediction
Atert Bissen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.9% | 69.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.92 | 15.2% | 16.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 10.20 | 8.8% | 14.0% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Atert Bissen
Probability
69.9%
Model confidence
69.9%
Atert Bissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00