GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

US Mondorf-les-bains · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atert Bissen 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains

Original prediction

US Mondorf-les-bains

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1142.8%31.8%-11.1 pts
Draw3.4026.6%24.8%-1.8 pts
Away2.9630.6%43.5%12.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

US Mondorf-les-bains

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

US Mondorf-les-bains has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atert BissenLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
US Mondorf-les-bainsWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atert BissenUS Mondorf-les-bains
46.7Attack80.0
53.3Defence60.0
60.0Form100.0
54.4Power84.2
1.30xG1.91
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