Atert Bissenvs
US Hostert
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atert Bissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atert Bissen 5-1 US Hostert
Original prediction
Atert Bissen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.2% | 59.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 19.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.43 | 16.6% | 20.6% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Atert Bissen
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Atert Bissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80