Atenasvs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atenas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80