Atenasvs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/31/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atenas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
14.4%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60