Atenasvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 6/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atenas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80