Atenasvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 4/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atenas are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.7% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
18.7%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80