Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atenas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rentistas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.6 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
14.7%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60