Atenasvs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atenas 0-0 Plaza Colonia, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atenas 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 31.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.5% | 36.8% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Atenas 0–0 Plaza Colonia
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtenasDWDWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaDLWWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AtenasPlaza Colonia
45.3Attack45.3
61.3Defence73.3
53.3Form57.3
54.8Power59.7
0.77xG0.97