Atenasvs
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atenas 0-0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atenas 1-0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.1% | 26.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.50 | 36.0% | 41.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.8% | 32.1% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Atenas 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtenasDWWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpo Bahia BlancaWDWWD
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AtenasOlimpo Bahia Blanca
30.0Attack28.6
70.0Defence92.1
50.0Form66.7
52.2Power64.9
0.42xG0.49