Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atenas 1-0 Miramar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atenas 1-1 Miramar
Original prediction
Atenas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 43.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 29.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.8% | 26.1% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Atenas 1–0 Miramar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtenasWDDWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MiramarWWWLD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtenasMiramar
43.2Attack32.1
64.2Defence59.3
54.3Form37.0
55.4Power45.0
1.17xG0.61