Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atenas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while La Luz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
19.4%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60