Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atenas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fenix are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
14.7%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20