GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/14/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtalantaDDLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CPWDWDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtalantaSporting CP
64.1Attack53.3
79.5Defence63.3
71.8Form53.3
71.6Power58.1
1.58xG0.75
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