Atalantavs
Sporting CP
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/14/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atalanta are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40