Atalantavs
Raków Częstochowa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
78.2%
Model confidence
78.2%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40