GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

78.2%

Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtalantaLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Raków CzęstochowaWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AtalantaRaków Częstochowa
64.1Attack16.7
79.5Defence44.4
71.8Form22.2
71.6Power31.0
2.46xG0.46
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