AtalantavsHapoel Tel Aviv

Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.