Atalantavs
Bayer Leverkusen
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 5/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atalanta are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 71.6 against 73.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80