GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TriestinaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IITriestina
37.7Attack53.5
68.4Defence61.4
51.8Form56.1
54.4Power58.1
0.93xG0.93
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