Atalanta IIvs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/5/2023, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atalanta II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60