GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/7/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Trento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TrentoDLLWD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IITrento
37.7Attack29.8
68.4Defence67.5
51.8Form44.7
54.4Power49.2
0.80xG0.51
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