GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/19/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Renate are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDLWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
RenateLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IIRenate
37.7Attack30.7
68.4Defence59.6
51.8Form39.5
54.4Power45.5
1.00xG0.52
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