Atalanta IIvs
Ravenna
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/20/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravenna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atalanta II 0-0 Ravenna, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atalanta II 0-2 Ravenna
Original prediction
Ravenna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.9% | 28.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 30.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 41.3% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Atalanta II 0–0 Ravenna
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ravenna
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Ravenna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atalanta IIWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RavennaWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IIRavenna
50.0Attack46.3
50.0Defence72.2
50.0Form67.6
50.0Power64.0
0.75xG1.16