GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/20/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IILWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pro SestoWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IIPro Sesto
37.7Attack21.9
68.4Defence64.9
51.8Form30.7
54.4Power41.5
0.89xG0.40
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