GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/9/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IILWLWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pro PatriaDLDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IIPro Patria
37.7Attack32.5
68.4Defence55.3
51.8Form40.4
54.4Power45.1
1.11xG0.55
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