GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/7/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pro PatriaDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IIPro Patria
37.7Attack32.5
68.4Defence55.3
51.8Form40.4
54.4Power45.1
1.11xG0.55
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