Atalanta IIvs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/25/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta II
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80