GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/16/2024, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IILWDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Atalanta IIPergolettese
37.7Attack38.6
68.4Defence56.1
51.8Form39.5
54.4Power45.8
1.09xG0.65
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