Atalanta IIvs
Padova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/30/2025, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atalanta II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Padova are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40