Atalanta IIvs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/4/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atalanta II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Novara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta II
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00