Atalanta IIvs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/24/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atalanta II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80