GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/5/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LumezzaneDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IILumezzane
37.7Attack43.0
68.4Defence57.9
51.8Form46.5
54.4Power50.8
1.03xG0.73
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