GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IIGiana Erminio
37.7Attack40.4
68.4Defence61.4
51.8Form46.5
54.4Power50.7
0.95xG0.69
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