Atalanta IIvs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atalanta II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta II
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00