GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/23/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Caldiero TermeDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IICaldiero Terme
37.7Attack34.2
68.4Defence43.9
51.8Form28.9
54.4Power38.1
1.43xG0.56
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