GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/22/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arzignano ValchiampoWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IIArzignano Valchiampo
37.7Attack28.1
68.4Defence67.5
51.8Form38.6
54.4Power46.1
0.81xG0.47
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