Atalanta IIvs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/18/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta II
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00