GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/7/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atalanta IIDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IIAlbinoleffe
37.7Attack29.8
68.4Defence67.5
51.8Form39.5
54.4Power47.9
0.80xG0.50
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