GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 5/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Šiauliai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Ataka Vilnius are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Šiauliai hold a 67.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Cup, while Šiauliai holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Šiauliai

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

8.7%

Šiauliai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ataka VilniusWWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.50/3.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 4/4
ŠiauliaiDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ataka VilniusŠiauliai
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence73.3
0.0Form80.0
7.0Power74.7
1.51xG2.69
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