GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Asyut Petrol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while National Bank of Egypt are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Asyut Petrol hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 14.5% confidence, a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.1%

Model confidence

14.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Asyut PetrolWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
National Bank of EgyptDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Asyut PetrolNational Bank of Egypt
50.0Attack45.1
50.0Defence55.9
50.0Form35.3
52.0Power45.8
1.24xG1.03
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