Asyut Petrolvs
National Bank of Egypt
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asyut Petrol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Asyut Petrol 1-0 National Bank of Egypt, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Asyut Petrol 0-1 National Bank of Egypt
Original prediction
Asyut Petrol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.63 | 25.1% | 39.6% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.4% | 30.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.5% | 30.3% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Projected Score
Asyut Petrol 1–0 National Bank of Egypt
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Asyut Petrol
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Asyut Petrol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40