Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Condal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Astur 1-1 Condal
Original prediction
Condal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Condal
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Condal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AsturDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CondalWDWDW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AsturCondal
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power64.8
1.07xG1.10