Astriovs
Västra Frölunda
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Västra Frölunda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Astrio 1-1 Västra Frölunda
Original prediction
Västra Frölunda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.30 | 17.1% | 11.0% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.4% | 14.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.5% | 74.8% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Västra Frölunda
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Västra Frölunda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00