Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Onsala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Astrio 0-2 Onsala
Original prediction
Onsala
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.80 | 24.2% | 17.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.3% | 19.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.5% | 62.8% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Onsala
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Onsala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AstrioLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OnsalaWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AstrioOnsala
23.8Attack46.0
19.0Defence44.4
9.5Form38.1
21.4Power43.8
1.00xG2.24