Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalstorps · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 0-4 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Astrio 1-5 Dalstorps
Original prediction
Dalstorps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.07 | 12.7% | 6.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.81 | 18.7% | 11.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.6% | 81.9% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–411%
Predicted outcome
Dalstorps
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
Dalstorps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AstrioLDWLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DalstorpsWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AstrioDalstorps
29.3Attack66.7
22.7Defence62.7
13.3Form65.3
24.9Power65.6
0.64xG3.27