Astrakhanvs
Angust Nazran
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Astrakhan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Angust Nazran are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Astrakhan hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Second League - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80