GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Astrakhan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Angust Nazran are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Astrakhan hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Second League - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AstrakhanLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Angust NazranWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AstrakhanAngust Nazran
44.4Attack16.7
50.0Defence64.8
38.9Form29.6
45.2Power39.5
1.02xG0.69
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