GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/21/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aston Villa W are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur W are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur W hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the FA WSL, while Tottenham Hotspur W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur W

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aston Villa WLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Tottenham Hotspur WWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Aston Villa WTottenham Hotspur W
40.9Attack47.0
34.8Defence45.5
36.4Form47.0
39.9Power47.8
1.42xG1.74
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