Aston VillavsRed Bull Salzburg

Aston Villa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.