Aston VillavsNottingham Forest

Aston Villa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.