Aston VillavsMaccabi Tel Aviv

Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.